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Unfortunately, all digital products are available for immediate download and we cannot offer returns or exchanges. If you have problems using the planner or have feedback about us, please email us at admin@. In this fourth year of Forecasts (now part of the larger World Forecasts 2023 series), we learn a thing or two about forecasts, experts, vision and forecasts.
Of course, we like to gossip too, which is why we asked ChatGPT to write an introduction to this article:
Let’s focus today. This article explores how markets are expected to change, how events will play out, and what risks and opportunities should be considered in the next 12 months.
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Update: This is the most important economic news for the last year, so it’s a natural start. Most expert opinions in this year’s data (there are now more than 500 forecasts) point to declining inflation* during the year. On the other hand, few people expect inflation to fall to the 2% range approved by Fed policymakers.
GDP: Forecasters have been revising their economic forecasts in recent weeks. The latest is the World Bank, which now believes that global growth in 2023 will be 1.7% from 3% six months ago. Most forecasts in our data assume global economic growth of between 1.5% and 2%.
Recession: 2022 As the year approaches, financial experts believe that a recession in developed markets this year is inevitable. As 2023 dawns, some analysts believe the US and Europe are likely to avoid a recession.
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Markets: Pundits on Wall Street and elsewhere are wary of equities, and after the worst year for bonds in 2022, many analysts said “bonds are back.”
*Interestingly, this is also a forecast made last year, but the extent of Russian occupation of Ukraine has been a curve that has caught the attention of many experts.
Job displacement due to automation is far from a new topic, but given the rapid progress in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, the risks for all industries are more relevant today.
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Let’s look at art and design as an example. One of the ways many artists and designers make a living is through commissions, they are hired and paid to create certain art in their style.
But today, free powerful AI tools like Midjourney allow users to create high-quality graphics in unlimited styles with just a few clicks. True art will never disappear and artists will grab the attention of the public, but this piece of art could destroy the industry. (Technologists can take some comfort in the fact that artificial intelligence is still no good.)
Of course, this technological progress has its positive sides. Generative AI tools are useful for generating ideas, mockups, and even working code snippets. AI systems like AlphaFold open up a whole world of scientific possibilities.
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From the hundreds of forecasts analyzed, it is clear that experts see AI as the main driver of growth this year. New AI companies are driving Big Tech to grow faster, and employers are looking for new ways to use AI tools to increase productivity.
Experts predict that in 2023 artificial intelligence will affect people’s lives more noticeably and tangibly than in previous years.
The fact that China is the second largest economy in the world and the backbone of world trade, issues in China have a great impact on the global economy.
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Xi Jinping should lift restrictions due to COVID-19, which have fundamentally changed the country’s economy. First, the resumption of work will lead to a sharp increase in spending and domestic consumption.
In addition, the opening of China will affect other economies. For example, a return to travel would be a boon for destinations popular with Chinese holidaymakers. Economically, Hong Kong has made huge strides and GDP is expected to jump to 8% once it reopens. Exporters in emerging markets could also experience growth, although this could lead to higher inflation.
Popular video app TikTok is causing a storm in the US. Many experts predict that in 2023, regulators will either ban the app altogether or force the company to sell it to an American. Regardless of how this incident happened, it shows the good relationship between the United States and China. Competition will have a negative impact on the world market every year.
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Energy has been the best-performing sector of the S&P 500 for two consecutive years, and many experts believe further gains are expected.
The world system that provides us with energy is incredibly complex, and there are many uncertainties in it. Of all factors, conflict is likely to cause the most change, and there are many geopolitical risks in 2023 that could affect energy production. First, Europe will continue to control its energy imports from Russia. Recently, natural gas from the United States has helped fill this gap.
In addition, this year Iran may become a symbol of the Middle East. The conflict developing in the region can lead to instability, which will negatively affect the energy sector, especially when attacking oil and gas resources.
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After the December holidays (no one wants to be a company that shuts people down during the holidays), tech companies are back with a serious downturn.
Already in 2023, layoffs: Salesforce cut 7,000 jobs, and Amazon cut 18,000 positions, which primarily affected the business side of the business.
Given Elon Musk’s influence in the tech industry, many experts say his strategy to shrink Twitter users incessantly could inspire other tech leaders.
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Technology workers earn high wages, and many of them are hired at a time of intense competition among companies for talent and market access.
At sunset, companies are tempted—and often forced—to correct their course. It is also predicted that the overall start-up and investment climate could change from a growth mindset to a value mindset, a matter worth considering in 2023.
🔮🔮🔮 The consensus forecast was created using our database of over 500 expert forecasts for 2023. Today, we also present the World Forecast Series 2023 report, which discusses these issues and forecasts in detail. Make sure you get it in 2023. cheat sheet become a VC+ member now.
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Predictions: What experts see for 2022 On the map: the most popular study in 2021 in every US state, who guessed? Take a look at the experts’ predictions for 2021. Consensus: What Experts See in 2021 Artificial Intelligence in Science Fiction: A Timeline of the Future of Technology
A technology that solves Google’s AI ambitions (and problems). A recent letter from Sundar Pichai reveals more than meets the eye. Here we read between the lines to provide more information about Google’s position on AI.
Anyone who has experimented with ChatGPT can sense the growth potential of AI, even in the early stages of the technology.
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We have already seen how hype cycles arise due to specific technologies. Blockchain, Metaverse, NFT, the list goes on. It remains to be seen how much value there will be after the heat dies down, but for now, some of the biggest companies in the world are taking it.
Google, which refocused on artificial intelligence a year ago, is at the forefront of this movement, making a recent letter from Google CEO Sundar Pichai significant.
After all, billions of people use Google Search to learn about the world, and Alphabet is one of the most profitable and influential companies in the world. But before “reading between the lines” of the letters, it’s good to look at the wider context.
